TE · SF · 2026 fantasy outlook
George Kittle: 2026 Fantasy Outlook
George Kittle is priced as someone you can rely on and our risk model does not agree. Treat the ADP as the cost of a wider range of outcomes, not a floor.
Where the market has him
Our published board has him at 109, 3 places higher than consensus ADP. Across 16 ranking sources the spread is 12.5 places — reasonably close.
Our board recommends him around round 11. The replacement-level tight end we measure him against is Travis Kelce, which is the honest comparison: the question is never whether he is good, it is how much better he is than the player you could have instead.
The track record
Across 9 drafted seasons in our sample, George Kittle finished at or above his positional draft price 5 times. He returned a severe bust in 3 of them. He played 13 games or fewer in 2 of those seasons — the availability line that separates hits from disasters more sharply than price does.
| Season | Drafted as | Finished | PPG | Games | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE3 | TE13 | 14.7 | 11 | Severe bust |
| 2024 | TE6 | TE3 | 15.8 | 15 | — |
| 2023 | TE4 | TE5 | 12.7 | 16 | — |
| 2022 | TE4 | TE3 | 13.4 | 15 | — |
| 2021 | TE3 | TE4 | 14.1 | 14 | — |
| 2020 | TE2 | TE20 | 15.6 | 8 | Severe bust |
| 2019 | TE2 | TE2 | 15.9 | 14 | — |
| 2018 | TE12 | TE3 | 16.2 | 16 | — |
| 2017 | TE34 | TE19 | 7.1 | 15 | Severe bust |
Positional draft rank against final positional finish on PPR total points. A severe bust is a finish outside the top 60 FLEX scorers.
Risk and upside
Our model tiers him high for risk and high for upside. Across the 2026 board those two scores are essentially uncorrelated, so a low-risk label is not a low-ceiling label.
Why the model says high risk: Primary risk: injury-supported risk (85.4) with weekly/market volatility (63.3) as the secondary driver.
George Kittle: common questions
Where is George Kittle being drafted in 2026?
George Kittle is going around pick 112 overall, the TE11 off the board in consensus ADP across the ranking sources we track, though individual sources have him as high as 86 and as low as 122.
Is George Kittle a good pick in 2026?
George Kittle is priced as someone you can rely on and our risk model does not agree. Treat the ADP as the cost of a wider range of outcomes, not a floor.
How risky is George Kittle?
Our model puts him in the high risk tier. Risk here combines availability history, role certainty, how much the ranking sources disagree, and week-to-week volatility. It is a measure of how wide the range of outcomes looks, not a prediction that he will get hurt.
How many fantasy points will George Kittle score in 2026?
Our projection has him at about 12 points per game in full PPR, or roughly 153 on the season once 4.3 projected games lost are priced in. Projections are a central estimate, not a floor.
Drafted around the same cost
ADP is consensus across the ranking sources Auto Draft Years tracks. Historical finishes are positional ranks on PPR total points, 2017–2025. Board generated Aug 17, 2026. For informational and entertainment purposes only — projections are estimates, not forecasts.