RB · SEA · 2026 fantasy outlook
Zach Charbonnet: 2026 Fantasy Outlook
Our board sits close to the market on Zach Charbonnet, which usually means the price is fair and the pick comes down to what else is on the board when your turn arrives.
Where the market has him
Our published board has him at 135, 9 places higher than consensus ADP. Across 16 ranking sources the spread is 14.7 places — reasonably close.
Our board recommends him around round 14. The replacement-level running back we measure him against is Rhamondre Stevenson, which is the honest comparison: the question is never whether he is good, it is how much better he is than the player you could have instead.
The track record
Across 3 drafted seasons in our sample, Zach Charbonnet finished at or above his positional draft price 2 times. He returned a severe bust in 2 of them.
| Season | Drafted as | Finished | PPG | Games | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB35 | RB24 | 11.3 | 16 | — |
| 2024 | RB44 | RB25 | 11 | 17 | Severe bust |
| 2023 | RB36 | RB45 | 6.6 | 16 | Severe bust |
Positional draft rank against final positional finish on PPR total points. A severe bust is a finish outside the top 60 FLEX scorers.
Risk and upside
Our model tiers him low for risk and moderate for upside. Across the 2026 board those two scores are essentially uncorrelated, so a low-risk label is not a low-ceiling label.
Why the model says low risk: Low risk profile: weekly/market volatility (60.3) with injury-supported risk (52.9) as the secondary driver.
Zach Charbonnet: common questions
Where is Zach Charbonnet being drafted in 2026?
Zach Charbonnet is going around pick 144 overall, the RB47 off the board in consensus ADP across the ranking sources we track, though individual sources have him as high as 113 and as low as 162.
Is Zach Charbonnet a good pick in 2026?
Our board sits close to the market on Zach Charbonnet, which usually means the price is fair and the pick comes down to what else is on the board when your turn arrives.
How risky is Zach Charbonnet?
Our model puts him in the low risk tier. Risk here combines availability history, role certainty, how much the ranking sources disagree, and week-to-week volatility. It is a measure of how wide the range of outcomes looks, not a prediction that he will get hurt.
How many fantasy points will Zach Charbonnet score in 2026?
Our projection has him at about 10 points per game in full PPR, or roughly 144 on the season once 2.6 projected games lost are priced in. Projections are a central estimate, not a floor.
Drafted around the same cost
ADP is consensus across the ranking sources Auto Draft Years tracks. Historical finishes are positional ranks on PPR total points, 2023–2025. Board generated Aug 17, 2026. For informational and entertainment purposes only — projections are estimates, not forecasts.